Nicholas Fund Inc Fund Manager Performance Evaluation
| NICSX Fund | USD 87.00 0.20 0.23% |
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.71, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Nicholas Fund's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Nicholas Fund is expected to be smaller as well.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nicholas Fund Inc are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Nicholas Fund is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more1 | Form N-CSRS NICHOLAS FUND, INC. For Sep 30 - StreetInsider | 12/02/2025 |
| Expense Ratio Date | 29th of July 2025 | |
| Expense Ratio | 0.7000 |
Nicholas |
Nicholas Fund Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 8,604 in Nicholas Fund Inc on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 96.00 from holding Nicholas Fund Inc or generate 1.12% return on investment over 90 days. Nicholas Fund Inc is currently producing 0.0219% returns and takes up 0.8737% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Nicholas, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Nicholas Fund Current Valuation
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Nicholas Fund's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Nicholas Fund secures a last-minute Real Value of $81.31 per share. The latest price of the fund is $87.0. We determine the value of Nicholas Fund from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Nicholas Fund is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Nicholas Mutual Fund. However, Nicholas Fund's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 87.0 | Real 81.31 | Hype 87.0 |
The intrinsic value of Nicholas Fund's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Nicholas Fund's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Nicholas Fund Inc helps investors to forecast how Nicholas mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Nicholas Fund more accurately as focusing exclusively on Nicholas Fund's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Nicholas Fund Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Nicholas Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 87.00 | 90 days | 87.00 | about 54.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nicholas Fund to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.97 (This Nicholas Fund Inc probability density function shows the probability of Nicholas Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Nicholas Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nicholas Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nicholas Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nicholas Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nicholas Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nicholas Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nicholas Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nicholas Fund Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nicholas Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Nicholas Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nicholas Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nicholas Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Nicholas Fund Fundamentals Growth
Nicholas Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Nicholas Fund, and Nicholas Fund fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Nicholas Mutual Fund performance.
| Price To Earning | 18.55 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.16 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 3.97 B | ||||
About Nicholas Fund Performance
Evaluating Nicholas Fund's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Nicholas Fund has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Nicholas Fund has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests in common stocks of domestic small, medium- and large-sized companies believed to have growth potential. The adviser believes a companys annual sales volume and market capitalization are the factors most illustrative of a companys size. In distinguishing company size in terms of sales volume, the adviser considers a companys sales volume relative to peer companies in the companys industry.Things to note about Nicholas Fund performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nicholas Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Nicholas Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Evaluating Nicholas Fund's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Nicholas Fund's mutual fund performance include:- Analyzing Nicholas Fund's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Nicholas Fund's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Nicholas Fund's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Nicholas Fund's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Nicholas Fund's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Nicholas Fund's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Nicholas Fund's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Other Information on Investing in Nicholas Mutual Fund
Nicholas Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nicholas Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nicholas with respect to the benefits of owning Nicholas Fund security.
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum |